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| The Almanac Investor: Profit from Market History and Seasonal Trends | 
 enlarge | Authors: Jeffrey A. Hirsch, J. Taylor Brown
Publisher: Wiley
Category: Book
List Price: $39.95
Buy New: $22.12
You Save: $17.83 (45%)
New (14) Used (8) from $22.12
Avg. Customer Rating:  7 reviews
Media: Paperback
Edition: 3rd
Number Of Items: 1
Pages: 525
Shipping Weight (lbs): 1.4
Dimensions (in): 9 x 6 x 1.5
ISBN: 0471654051
Dewey Decimal Number: 332.6322
EAN: 9780471654056
Publication Date: November 4, 2005
Availability: Usually ships in 1-2 business days
Condition: BRAND NEW
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Product Description
The key to successful financial research is the ability to access and manipulate accurate data. This book, and its cutting edge, completely Internet-based trading system--that can organise and evaluate any market data, with all parameters set by the researcher--introduces a new way of doing just that. The Hirsch name is known for time tested and successful research and analysis, and The Almanac Investor will share valuable Hirsch theories and strategies with investors. - Trusted advice and techniques that can improve any reader's overall trading efficiency.
- Contains data, indicators, and patterns needed to understand how and why the stock market fluctuates.
- A companion Web site will host a revolutionary Web-based system to evaluate and improve trading practices.
- Includes a step-by-step tutorial, which supplements every study in the book.
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| Customer Reviews: Read 2 more reviews...
 Armor, shield, and sword for stock market battles October 24, 2007
This book and the yearly Almanac by Hirsch Organization are the very basic staple weapons for Battle for ultimate victory in stock market. I simply would not engage in the market without them.
 Contains tons of info and tons of theories October 18, 2007
0 out of 1 found this review helpful
This is a great reference, where is contains a lot of compiled data of the years and tries to give some reasons for the tends presented. One main thing I took away from the book was that the market is really just a wild and crazy beast, but there might be some signs that can point to "warm fuzzies" for guidance in timing the market (sometimes).
Must have for an investment library December 8, 2006
5 out of 5 found this review helpful
This book is a must have for its research in patterns. Weekly, daily, monthly, and presidential election patterns are all examined to show you the probabilities in trading in specifies time periods. From the data shown it is essential to stay in the market for November and December this is where 40% of the gains have come in the past 80 years. The stock market tends to decline on Thursday and Friday with traders getting out of their positions for a stress free weekend and then the market generally rises on Monday and Tuesday with the reentries. It is essential to fully invest in the stock market in the year before the presidential election, they have returned over 20% in the S&P over the past 4. Stay out of stocks in August and September, they are historically terrible months.
Also the chapter on the cyclical stocks shows you what sector to buy in what month and when to sell. For example :buy consumer stocks in May and sell in September. I can tell you from watching my company's stock over the past 4 years that this is true and one of the best ways to make money in the market. The graph with all industry sectors and showing the buy and sell months is worth the price of the book.
I have returned an average of 20% in my investments over the past 4 years and I can tell you if I would have had this book I could have increased my returns by at least 10%. I would have also decreased my losses during the bear market years by 10% by staying out of the markets in the worst 3 months.
Buy this book and read it to increase your probability of trading success dramatically. I promise you the book will pay for itself in one trade using its principles.
Comprehensive Guide to Stock Market Seasonality and Patterns March 29, 2006
14 out of 14 found this review helpful
The Almanac Investor is a welcome addition to Hirsch's long-standing and indispensable annual Stock Trader's Almanac. Jeff Hirsch has co-authored the almanac with J. Taylor Brown, a VP at the Hirsch Organization. The 500+ page soft cover almanac provides investors and traders with useful insights into the stock market's performance over almost six decades. There are recurring patterns in the stock market and those who study history can put the odds in their favor. The Almanac is divided into three parts:
Part I covers indicators and patterns (e.g., weekly, monthly and annual data, the 4 year presidential cycle, the decennial cycle, bull and bear markets since 1990, and how war and peace impacted the markets).
Part II reviews seasonal sector investing and focuses on the best months to own 19 sector indexes (e.g., semiconductor, real estate, oil, and healthcare products) and their performance statistics. Each sector's performance is tracked on four pages pinpointing the performance during the best seasonal periods compared to buy-and-hold, a price chart typically ten years in duration, the top stocks of the index, the best and worst months performance, and the performance by each month of the best monthly time period. At a glance the reader can easily spot the trends that are persistent over time.
ETFs have grown tremendously in volume and importance over the past few years, and the almanac provides detailed information on most of them in Part II. There is a separate chapter devoted to almost 200 ETFs, including a description of the ETF, its top ten holdings, top sectors, and recent price chart. An index lists all the ETFs alphabetically, as well as by their category (e.g., large cap, Latin America, software, etc.) for those investors who want to compare the ETF composition and performance by category.
Part III is a vast database of monthly price history of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Standard and Poor's 500 from 1950 through June 2005, the NASDAQ Composite since its inception in 1971, and the Russell 1000 and 2000 since 1979.
Investors and traders who are looking to put money into the stock should definitely consider the eye-opening patterns and seasonality that have occurred in the stock market for decades. Realizing that there is no guarantee on Wall Street that patterns will persist into the future, the knowledgeable investor/trader will benefit from this encyclopedic array of information. Individuals purchasing this almanac are offered a free 60 trial of the The Almanac Investor Online Research platform which is updated continually. Overall, the almanac is a "must have" for any serious investor or trader.
 Some Useful Information Worth Knowing March 11, 2006
15 out of 15 found this review helpful
If you study the markets, you will come across all kinds of 'cycles' and 'effects' that have correlations to whether the market goes up or down. In many instances, why these correlations and patterns exist is unclear. With that being said, just because we don't know why something happens does not mean we should just ignore it.
This book provides information on many patterns and seasonal effects that seem to correlate to the market. While you may not want to use these patterns as your primary investment decision making tool, to ignore them is to ignore patterns that exhibited high probabilities (70%, 80% even 100%) of repeating, just as they have, in many instances, for 100 years or more. If the market has gone up in every year ending in the number '5' (1995, 2005) for the last 100 years, do you really want to bet it will go down the next time?
This book is mostly a reference guide that contains interesting and useful information about patterns that occur on different time frames --- daily, weekly, monthly, yearly. If you want to 'stack' the odds of a successful trade as much as possible in your favor, you probably will benefit from having this as a reference book.
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